Sunday, October 18, 2026

Justice Without the Burden: A Global Model for Victim-Centred Criminal Justice

 


A global policy and legal reform paper, with India as the primary case study

Date: October 2026

Abstract

She reports the rape once. Then she reports it again: to the investigating officer, to the medical officer, to the magistrate, to the prosecutor, to the court. She returns to the police station for updates that never arrive. She learns, without being told, that the case will not move unless she moves it. In another district, a family files a murder complaint and then spends years asking whether anyone has been arrested. In a third, a man survives an attempt on his life and discovers that survival has made him the administrator of his own case: twenty-five hearings, twenty-seven months, no verdict.

These are not stories of exceptional cruelty. They are stories of ordinary procedure. In India, rape trials stretch over 5–10 years on average, and even Fast Track Special Courts, established expressly to accelerate them, average 1,639 days in Delhi. The national conviction rate for rape was 24.4% of completed trials in 2024, while nearly 90% of the 2.06 lakh rape cases in the trial pool remained pending at year-end. For murder, 2,72,198 cases were in the trial pool in 2023, with a reported conviction rate of 37.7%. For kidnapping and abduction, the conviction rate was 20.2%. For attempt to murder, a Mumbai study of 196 cases found 32 convictions, an average of 27.4 months from FIR to decision, and 25.8 separate hearings per case. Dacoity cases in the same study took an average of 43.6 months and produced five convictions out of 35 cases.

The pattern is not confined to offences against the person. Robbery, arson, and grievous hurt cases also expose the consequences of prolonged proceedings, although their conviction rates and trial durations vary by offence, jurisdiction, and reporting period. Human trafficking prosecutions face additional procedural challenges despite dedicated legislation and specialised institutional mechanisms. For acid attack survivors, delays in justice can compound the burdens of medical treatment, rehabilitation, and social reintegration. In each case, the offence differs; the underlying procedural problem may remain the same. Victims, bereaved families, survivors, and witnesses are often left to navigate a system whose delays and administrative demands can prolong the consequences of the original crime.

The central problem is not simply that individual cases fail. It is that the system can leave those already harmed carrying an excessive administrative burden in pursuit of a timely verdict. The state bears the legal responsibility to investigate and prosecute offences. Yet victims and their families may find themselves repeatedly seeking updates, tracking proceedings, coordinating with authorities, and attempting to prevent their cases from disappearing into institutional delay. The practical burden of securing progress can thus fall on the very people the justice system is meant to protect.

This paper argues that the allocation of this burden is, in significant part, a matter of institutional design, and that it can be redesigned. It proposes a Single-Contact, State-Managed Criminal Justice Model, in which reporting a crime activates a coordinated, state-managed process rather than imposing a prolonged obligation of individual follow-up on the victim. The objective is not to eliminate victims' participation in justice, but to ensure that participation is meaningful, informed, and dignified rather than administratively exhausting. The fundamental question is not whether victims should participate in justice. It is why they should be made to administer it.

Keywords: victim-centred justice; criminal procedure; secondary victimisation; single-contact reporting; digital justice; procedural burden; victims’ rights; institutional accountability; India; comparative criminal justice.

1. Introduction: The Global Problem, the Indian Laboratory

A person who has suffered a serious crime should not have to spend years pursuing the institutions responsible for investigating that crime. Yet this is the lived experience of victims across legal systems. In England and Wales, the Victims’ Code promises timely information and support, but compliance is uneven. In the European Union, Directive 2012/29/EU requires interviews to be kept to a minimum, yet victims still navigate fragmented national procedures. In the United States, federal victims’ rights are enforceable in principle, but access to counsel and information varies enormously in practice. And in India, the world’s largest democracy, with over 54 million pending cases and more than two-thirds of its prison population comprising undertrials, the gap between statutory promise and procedural reality is especially stark.

India is not an outlier in having a victim burden problem. It is an amplifier: the scale of its caseload, the diversity of its legal cultures across states, and the ambition of its 2023 criminal law reforms make it the most consequential place to test whether a victim-centred model can actually work at population scale.

The central argument is:

Reporting a crime should ordinarily activate a state-managed process, not create a continuing administrative burden that the victim must personally supervise.

This paper is a doctrinal and comparative policy-design analysis. It does not claim that the full SCSM exists anywhere. Its purpose is to propose a coherent reform framework, demonstrate that its components already exist in fragments across jurisdictions, and specify how it could be implemented and evaluated, with India as the primary implementation case.

2. The Anatomy of Procedural Burden

2.1 Secondary Victimisation Is Institutional, Not Incidental

Secondary victimisation, the “second assault”, describes harm caused not by the offender but by the institutions meant to vindicate the victim. It takes predictable forms: insensitive questioning, repeated retelling of traumatic events, invasive medical examinations, delays, disbelief, and rigid procedures that strip survivors of dignity and control. Unlike primary victimisation, it is systemic: it arises from repeated institutional failures, not from individual malice.

In India, public attention to secondary victimisation intensified after the 2012 Delhi gang rape and murder, leading to the Justice Verma Committee reforms, the 2013 and 2018 amendments, and ultimately the replacement of the Code of Criminal Procedure, 1973 with the BNSS 2023. The BNSS was marketed as a victim-centric overhaul. Whether it is one is the question to which this paper returns.

2.2 The Transfer of Institutional Responsibility to Victims

In principle, police investigate, prosecutors prosecute, and courts adjudicate. In practice, victims perform functions that belong to institutions: monitoring progress, requesting action, ensuring documents reach authorities, and pursuing compensation. The Indian Supreme Court’s 2025 intervention is illustrative. A bench of Justices Nagarathna and Mahadevan found that compensation remains unpaid primarily because trial courts fail to issue directions, “which results in the burden shifting onto the victim to apply separately before legal services authorities”. The Court lamented that survivors are “often left to run around to secure compensation that the law already entitles them to”.

This is the procedural burden problem in its purest form: the state has the legal obligation, but the victim bears the administrative cost of enforcing it.

2.3 Unequal Burdens, Unequal Justice

Procedural burdens are regressive. A wealthy victim can retain counsel and absorb travel costs; a low-income victim cannot. A disabled victim faces physical barriers; a rural victim faces distance. In India, compensation disparities across states reveal a lack of standardisation, “leaving victims unequally treated depending on geography”. A system that makes access depend on the victim’s resources produces unequal practical access to a formally equal right.

Justice Without the Burden: A Global Model for Victim-Centred Criminal Justice




3. What Existing Frameworks Do, and Do Not, Establish

The SCSM does not begin from zero. It integrates principles already present in international and national law. But it is essential to be precise about what these instruments actually guarantee.

Instrument

Key provision(s)

What it supports

What it does not establish

UN Declaration 1985

Dignity, access, assistance, information, privacy, minimising inconvenience

Broad international principles of victim-centred treatment

A directly enforceable right to one-time reporting and no further attendance

EU Directive 2012/29/EU

Article 20: minimum interviews, only when strictly necessary; protection and information rights

Minimisation of repeated interviews without prejudice to defence rights

Complete exemption from interviews, hearings, or attendance

US Crime Victims’ Rights Act, 18 U.S.C. § 3771

Protection, notice, conferral, proceedings free from unreasonable delay

Victims as rights-holders with enforceable procedural entitlements

A general right to avoid all court attendance

UK Victims’ Code

Information, support, referral to services

A service-standard model for victim treatment

Statutory single-contact coordination or digital case management

India BNSS 2023

Section 173 (e-FIR); Section 176 (recording at victim’s place); Section 183(6) (Magistrate-recorded statement as examination-in-chief for disabled victims); Section 193(3)(ii) (90-day progress update, electronic communication permitted); Section 230 (free case papers, but conditional on representation); Section 360 (victim heard on withdrawal)

Significant victim-facing procedural innovations; electronic communication as an accepted channel; some reduction of repeated narration

Continuous case coordination; meaningful periodic updates; unconditional access to case papers; exemption from legally required testimony

The comparative conclusion is fourfold. First, victim dignity is a recognised legal concern across all surveyed frameworks. Second, repeated interviews and unnecessary burdens can be reduced without abandoning investigation, the EU Directive proves this explicitly. Third, digital communication is already legally recognised, including in India. Fourth, no surveyed framework guarantees that a victim can file once and thereafter avoid all further involvement. The SCSM is an integration and extension, not a restatement of existing universal law.

4. India as the Critical Case: Ambition and Implementation Gap

India is the most instructive jurisdiction for testing the SCSM because its recent reforms are genuinely ambitious, its implementation challenges are documented, and its scale makes success or failure consequential beyond its borders.

4.1 The BNSS’s Victim-Facing Innovations

The BNSS contains several provisions that move toward the SCSM’s logic. Section 173 permits information relating to a cognizable offence to be given by electronic communication, with the FIR taken on record upon signature within three days. Section 176 addresses recording a rape victim’s statement at her residence or place of choice, as far as practicable by a woman police officer, and permits audio-video electronic means. Section 183(6) allows a Magistrate-recorded statement of a victim with a qualifying disability to operate as examination-in-chief, so that the victim can be cross-examined without repeating the entire account at trial, a genuine reduction of secondary victimisation. Section 193(3)(ii) requires police to inform the victim of investigation progress within 90 days, including electronically. Section 360’s final proviso requires the victim to be heard before withdrawal from prosecution.

These are real advances. But they are fragments of a system, not a system.

4.2 The Implementation Gap: Four Documented Failures

First, information is under-specified. Section 193 requires an update “within ninety days,” but does not define “progress,” does not require continuing communication at meaningful milestones, and does not state whether the update must include arrest or non-arrest, forensic submissions, filing of the final report, a proposed closure, or reasons for delay. Nor does it identify a remedy for silence. A single update at day 90 satisfies the letter of the provision while leaving the victim without meaningful oversight for the remainder of the investigation.

Second, access to case papers is circular. Section 230 requires the Magistrate to furnish free copies of the police report, FIR, witness statements, and relevant documents to the accused and to the victim if represented by an advocate. But a victim may need the documents to obtain effective legal advice; conditioning disclosure on representation creates a circular inequality that disadvantages precisely those who cannot afford counsel.

Third, compensation is procedurally burdened. Despite Section 357A of the CrPC, now Section 396 BNSS, and the POCSO Act’s compensation mandate, the Supreme Court found that compensation is “rarely ordered unless victims pursue separate and lengthy proceedings”. In Telangana, only 58 rape survivors received compensation over five years, at an average of ₹3.95 lakh against a maximum eligibility of ₹10 lakh; in 2019-20, only one survivor received compensation. District Legal Services Authorities report that applications stall due to documentation issues and procedural delays, and that public notifications do not show recent updates on fund releases since 2018.

Fourth, support infrastructure exists but is not integrated into the legal process. The Nirbhaya Fund has financed 802 One Stop Centres across 36 States/UTs, assisting over 1.08 million women, alongside a 24x7 Women’s Helpline (181) that has fielded over 21 million calls. These are substantial achievements. But OSCs are support infrastructure, not case-management infrastructure. They do not coordinate police, prosecution, and court communication; they do not track procedural milestones; they do not substitute for a designated case coordinator with authority to escalate delay. The survivor may receive counselling at an OSC and still spend years pursuing the investigation elsewhere.

4.3 Why India Matters Globally

India’s reforms are not uniquely flawed; they are uniquely legible. The BNSS explicitly commits to victim-centricity, electronic communication, and reduced repetition. The implementation gap between those commitments and lived experience is therefore documented with unusual clarity: Supreme Court judgments naming the burden shift, state-level compensation data, and peer-reviewed studies of secondary victimisation. What India reveals is not Indian exceptionalism but a general truth: statutory victim-centrism without procedural architecture produces symbolic rights, not reduced burdens. That lesson is transferable to any jurisdiction that has enacted victim rights without redesigning the machinery that delivers them.

5. The Proposed Model: Single-Contact, State-Managed Criminal Justice

The SCSM rests on a distinction between the victim’s obligation to report information, the state’s obligation to investigate and prosecute according to law, and the victim’s continuing right to participate when necessary or desired.

5.1 Single-Contact Reporting

A victim should be able to initiate the process through one legally recognised reporting channel: a police station, emergency telephone service, secure online portal, authorised reporting centre, or other lawful channel. The victim should receive a unique case identification number, confirmation of registration where legally applicable, the name or identifier of the responsible authority, and information explaining next steps and available support.

Single-contact reporting does not prohibit clarification. If material facts are missing or new evidence emerges, authorities may request further information. Requests should be coordinated, justified, and designed to avoid needless repetition. The system must not use a digital interface to unlawfully refuse complaints or obscure remedies when registration is refused.

5.2 State-Assumed Responsibility

Once a report is received, responsibility for investigating should remain with competent public authorities. The victim should not be expected to coordinate police, forensic laboratories, prosecutors, court registries, medical institutions, and other public bodies. The investigating authority should coordinate evidence collection, witness identification, forensic examinations, digital evidence preservation, lawful records requests, and communication with prosecution. Prosecutors should exercise independent legal judgment; courts should retain control over judicial proceedings.

This division is essential. A single-contact model must not merge independent institutions into an unaccountable body or compromise prosecutorial independence or judicial impartiality. Its purpose is to coordinate their interactions from the victim’s perspective while preserving distinct legal functions.

5.3 Designated Case Coordinator

Each serious criminal case should have an identified point of contact responsible for procedural communication, a trained victim-support officer or case coordinator, not necessarily the investigating officer. The coordinator should:

→ Provide the case reference and contact information.

→ Explain procedural stages in accessible language.

→ Communicate verified updates and significant changes.

→ Coordinate appointments and requests for additional information.

→ Inform the victim of hearings and remedies.

→ Refer protection concerns to competent authorities.

→ Escalate missed deadlines and unresolved administrative problems.

The coordinator must not determine guilt, direct judicial decisions, or interfere with investigators and prosecutors. The role is administrative and supportive, with defined accountability. In the Indian context, this function could be housed within a strengthened One Stop Centre framework or a dedicated victim-case unit attached to the District Legal Services Authority, with a statutory duty to escalate to the Magistrate where milestones are missed.

5.4 Digital-First, Not Digital-Only

Routine communication should occur through secure digital channels or telephone where legally appropriate and acceptable to the victim. A secure case portal could provide case status, responsible authority, upcoming appointments, outstanding requests and reasons, decisions communicated to the victim, and contact details for support and complaints. Access must be controlled through authentication, role-based permissions, audit logs, data minimisation, and retention policies. Sensitive information, particularly in sexual-offence cases, must not be exposed through insecure messages or broadly accessible databases.

Digital-first must not mean digital-only. Telephone, accessible in-person assistance, interpreters, and other alternatives must remain available. India’s OSC and 181 helpline infrastructure provides a ready offline and telephone backbone that a digital portal could complement rather than replace.

5.5 Minimal Repeated Interviews

A victim should not be required to repeat the same account to different officials merely because institutions do not share records. Where legally permissible, an initial detailed interview should be securely recorded and made available to authorised personnel. Further interviews should occur only when they serve a necessary investigative or judicial function.

The BNSS already gestures toward this logic in Section 183(6) for disabled victims. The SCSM would generalise the principle: recorded statements should be the default where evidence law permits, with supplementary questioning justified and documented. For sexual violence, child victims, victims with disabilities, and people with specific protection needs, procedures should be tailored to minimise distress. The system must distinguish avoidable repetition from legitimate supplementary questioning; new witnesses, forensic findings, inconsistencies requiring clarification, or defence issues may justify additional questioning. Recorded statements must comply with evidence law, procedural safeguards, privacy protections, and the accused’s right to challenge evidence.

5.6 No Unnecessary Physical Attendance

Victims should not be required to attend police stations or courts merely to obtain routine updates, submit documents that can lawfully be submitted electronically, or perform administrative tasks public officials can complete themselves. Where participation is necessary, authorities should consider remote interviews, video links, recorded testimony where legally admissible, accessible facilities, travel assistance, and other accommodations.

Whether testimony can be recorded in advance or given remotely remains subject to governing law and the court’s assessment of fairness, evidentiary reliability, and the accused’s rights. A material witness may still need to testify and undergo cross-examination. The reform requires authorities to distinguish attendance necessary to establish truth from attendance caused by procedural habit or administrative failure.

5.7 State-Managed Prosecution and Compensation

The victim should not have to personally finance or coordinate the state’s investigation and prosecution as a condition of receiving criminal justice. Where victims have legal rights to private participation, representation, review, or appeal, those rights should be preserved. Legal aid should be available to eligible victims. If a victim becomes unavailable, withdraws cooperation, or dies, authorities should assess whether the case can lawfully proceed on available evidence. Prosecution should not automatically collapse because the victim cannot manage the process; equally, the state must not manufacture evidence.

Critically, compensation should be initiated by the court or prosecution at the point of judgment or earlier, not left to the victim to pursue separately. The Indian Supreme Court’s 2025 direction, that trial courts must issue compensation directions at judgment, and that judicial academies must train judges accordingly, is a partial move in this direction. The SCSM would make this automatic and system-triggered rather than dependent on judicial awareness.

6. Limits and Safeguards

A complaint is not proof of guilt. Authorities must investigate impartially, assess exculpatory and inculpatory evidence, and comply with legal standards. The accused retains the presumption of innocence and fair-trial rights.

Some further participation is indispensable. A victim may be the only person who can identify the perpetrator, describe an event, explain a threat, or establish a material fact. The model creates a presumption against unnecessary repetition, not an absolute right to refuse all further interviews or testimony.

Victim autonomy must be preserved. Victims should receive information about relevant decisions and retain rights to be heard, seek legal advice, request protection, pursue compensation, or challenge specified decisions. Some victims may wish to attend court or communicate with prosecutors; their choice should be respected.

Confidentiality and security are non-negotiable. Digital case management creates risks if personal information, addresses, medical records, witness identities, or evidence are improperly accessed. The system requires access controls, secure authentication, audit logs, data minimisation, retention policies, and sanctions for unauthorised disclosure.

7. Institutional Accountability: Making the Model Enforceable

A digital portal alone will not solve the problem. The proposal requires enforceable duties, clear ownership, and consequences for avoidable failures.

Duty

Standard

Evidence

Remedy

Registration and case reference

Within prescribed time

Case management record

Written reasons; independent review

Designated contact

For serious offences

Coordinator assignment record

Escalation to supervisor

Victim updates

At prescribed intervals and on significant developments

Communication log

Complaint; performance reporting

Additional interviews

Only with documented legitimate purpose

Interview justification record

Review; disciplinary referral if improper

Attendance requests

Only when legally necessary

Attendance justification

Remote alternative; complaint

Compensation initiation

At judgment or earlier, automatically

Court order record

Appellate review; training

Delay escalation

Automatic flag and review

Milestone audit trail

Corrective direction; public reporting

Privacy breach

Immediate containment and notification where lawful

Security incident log

Sanction; corrective action

7.1 Automatic Escalation of Delays

Each case should have recorded procedural milestones and the authority responsible for each stage. When a deadline is missed, the system should automatically flag the delay for review. A supervisor or designated oversight body should examine the reason and direct corrective action within its legal authority. An automated alert should not itself determine misconduct; delays may arise from legitimate evidentiary, forensic, security, or judicial considerations. Accountability requires recorded reasons and proportionate review, not automatic punishment.

7.2 Independent Complaint and Review

Victims should have a simple way to complain about refusal to register or improper classification; failure to communicate required information; unjustified repeated interviews or attendance demands; negligent delay; privacy breaches; and failures to address safety concerns. Complaints should be reviewable by an authority independent of the official whose conduct is challenged. The review mechanism should be capable of ordering lawful corrective action and referring possible misconduct for disciplinary or legal proceedings.

7.3 Recorded Reasons and Public Reporting

Where law permits an authority to decline an investigative step, discontinue a line of enquiry, or take another decision materially affecting the victim’s interests, reasons should be recorded and communicated to the extent legally permissible. Confidentiality, witness safety, and investigative integrity may justify withholding particular information, but such restrictions should have a lawful basis rather than becoming a general excuse for non-communication.

Governments should publish anonymised statistics on time between reporting and registration, time to first substantive update, frequency of repeated interviews, avoidable physical visits, compliance with communication deadlines, complaint resolution times, remote participation use, compensation initiation rates, and data-security incidents.

8. Implementation Framework

Phase 1: Legal and Procedural Audit

Map existing reporting, investigation, prosecution, and trial processes for selected serious offences. Identify repeated data collection, unnecessary attendance requirements, fragmented communication, avoidable delays, and points where victims coordinate public institutions. Distinguish statutory requirements from administrative practice. In India, this audit should specifically examine why Section 193’s 90-day update is not producing meaningful periodic communication, and why Section 230’s document access is not reaching unrepresented victims.

Phase 2: Minimum Victim-Service Standards

Legislation or binding procedural rules should specify the right to an accessible reporting channel and case reference; the duty to designate a responsible contact for serious cases; prescribed updates through accessible channels; a presumption against repetitive questioning without legitimate purpose; the duty to consider remote participation and reasonable accommodations; automatic initiation of compensation at judgment; and the right to complain and obtain independent review. In India, BNSS rules under Section 193 should prescribe minimum information content and periodicity, and Section 230 should be amended to provide documents to the victim regardless of representation, with legal aid referral where needed.

Phase 3: Interoperable Case Management

Establish a secure case-management system permitting authorised information sharing between police, prosecution, courts, and victim-support bodies. Interoperability must not mean unrestricted access. Each institution should access only what it is legally authorised and operationally required to see. The system should preserve an audit trail showing when records were accessed, updated, or disclosed. In India, this system should be built on the existing digital public infrastructure model, interoperable, auditable, and accessible through the OSC and 181 networks, rather than as a standalone portal that replicates existing silos.

Phase 4: Training and Victim Support

Train police, prosecutors, court staff, forensic personnel, and coordinators on victim communication, trauma-informed interviewing, privacy, disability accommodation, digital security, and role limits. Integrate victim-support services into the process rather than offering them only after the victim has navigated the system alone. India’s judicial academies should include compensation-ordering and victim-communication modules, as the Supreme Court has already directed.

Phase 5: Pilot, Evaluate, Expand

Begin with selected serious offences and jurisdictions, including urban and rural areas, victims with different accessibility needs, and cases of varying complexity. An independent evaluation should compare outcomes before and after implementation. Expansion should depend on demonstrated improvements, not merely the launch of a digital platform.

9. Evaluation Criteria

Indicator

Proposed measure

Reporting burden

Number of physical visits required solely for administrative purposes

Interview repetition

Number of interviews per victim and documented justification

Communication

Time to first update; compliance with prescribed update schedules

Case coordination

Proportion of serious cases with identified coordinator

Institutional delay

Number and duration of overdue milestones, with reasons

Compensation initiation

Proportion of eligible cases with court-initiated compensation directions at judgment

Accessibility

Availability of telephone, digital, in-person, interpretation, and disability support

Victim experience

Surveyed administrative burden, perceived dignity, access to information

Fair-trial safeguards

Compliance with evidentiary, disclosure, defence, and judicial requirements

Data protection

Security incidents, unauthorised access, corrective action

A lower number of interviews is not necessarily better if essential evidence is left unexamined. A shorter investigation is not necessarily better if accuracy is compromised. A high conviction rate should not be treated as the principal measure of success, since criminal justice must also protect against wrongful prosecution and conviction. The purpose is to assess whether the system reduces avoidable burdens while maintaining quality, fairness, and reliability.

10. Anticipated Objections

“The system cannot operate without victims’ cooperation.” Correct in some cases, but this does not justify requiring victims to manage routine administration. The model preserves necessary participation while transferring coordination to responsible authorities.

“Remote proceedings could weaken cross-examination.” Remote testimony may create difficulties. The response is not mandatory remote participation in every case, but permitted use subject to judicial control and procedural safeguards. Comparative evidence from England and Wales’ Special Measures regime suggests that pre-recorded cross-examination can reduce trauma but must be carefully calibrated to avoid unintended effects on trial outcomes.

“A single complaint could encourage incomplete reporting.” The model permits clarification and supplementary evidence. Its objective is to eliminate unnecessary repetition, not freeze the investigation.

“Digital systems are expensive and vulnerable.” Technology requires investment, cybersecurity, maintenance, and training. Implementation should be phased, independently audited, and supported by offline alternatives. India’s existing OSC and helpline infrastructure demonstrates that offline and telephone support can coexist with digital-first design.

“The state may neglect cases even after assuming responsibility.” This is the central risk. The proposal therefore combines state responsibility with automatic escalation, recorded reasons, independent review, public reporting, and remedies. India’s experience with Section 193, a duty to inform that has not produced meaningful periodic communication, demonstrates that a duty without an enforcement mechanism is insufficient. The SCSM’s accountability architecture is designed precisely to close that gap.

11. Limitations and Further Research

This paper is a policy proposal grounded in selected legal frameworks. It is not a systematic review of every country’s criminal procedure and does not establish the comparative frequency of unnecessary attendance or repeated interviews across all jurisdictions.

Further research should examine implementation of victim-rights laws in a broader range of countries, including gaps between statutory entitlements and institutional practice. Empirical research should collect data on the number of times victims attend police stations and courts, the frequency and reasons for repeated interviews, financial and psychological costs, and availability of remote alternatives. Research should also assess whether integrated case-management systems improve communication without increasing privacy risks, whether recorded interviews preserve evidentiary quality, and how digital-first procedures affect rural and disadvantaged populations.

A comparative implementation study could classify reforms into three categories: measures already guaranteed by law, measures permitted but inconsistently implemented, and measures requiring new legislation or institutional infrastructure. India’s BNSS provides a particularly rich case for this classification, because it contains examples of all three.

12. Conclusion

A criminal justice system should not make the victim responsible for ensuring that justice is administered. The state has a responsibility to investigate reported offences, prosecute where evidence and law justify prosecution, protect people from further harm, and provide fair and accessible procedures. Victims have an important role, but their participation should not become an excuse for transferring administrative responsibility from public institutions to the people those institutions are meant to serve.

The global comparative record establishes that victim dignity, information, and protection are recognised legal concerns. The EU Directive proves that repeated interviews can be minimised without abandoning investigation. The US statute establishes victims as rights-holders. India’s BNSS introduces electronic reporting, remote statement recording, and time-linked information obligations. But none of these frameworks establishes the integrated architecture the SCSM proposes: one report, one coordinator, continuous digital communication, documented justification for further participation, automatic escalation of delay, and court-initiated compensation.

India is the most important place to test this model, not because it is the worst performer, but because its reforms are the most explicit, its implementation gaps are the most documented, and its scale makes the consequences of success or failure global. The Supreme Court’s 2025 compensation directions, the One Stop Centre network, and the BNSS’s electronic communication provisions are all building blocks. What is missing is the connective architecture that turns them into a system in which the victim reports once and the state carries the burden thereafter.

The right to justice must not depend on a victim’s ability to repeatedly pursue the institutions responsible for delivering it.




References for the Opening Section

The following references correspond to the empirical claims made in the opening section. Official statistical tables are cited wherever available. For reported studies, judicial observations, and secondary reporting, the relevant publications are identified alongside their source links.

1. National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB). (2023). Crime in India 2023. Table: “Disposal of IPC Cases by Police & Court.” Data on murder, kidnapping and abduction, hurt (including acid attack), rioting, robbery, and dacoity.

Access the NCRB report (PDF)

2. National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB). (2024). Rape trial pendency and conviction data. Reported in The Statesman, 1 September 2026. “Thousands of Rape Cases Reach India’s Courts, but How Many End in Conviction?”

Read the article

3. Fast Track Special Courts, Delhi. Average rape trial duration of 1,639 days, approximately four and a half years. Reported in India Today, 23 July 2026. “India’s Fast-Track Courts: Fast Hearings, Slow Convictions.”

Read the article

4. Chintan India Foundation. (2025, 11 August). “Delayed Justice in Rape Cases: Examining Systemic and Legal Barriers.” Discussion of prolonged rape trials, including reported durations of five to ten years.

Read the research article

5. Praja Foundation study of serious criminal cases in Mumbai (2008–2012). Findings concerning 1,326 serious criminal cases, including 196 attempt-to-murder cases and 35 dacoity cases. Reported in Hindustan Times, 28 March 2018. “77% Serious Crime Cases in Mumbai Resulted in Acquittals: Study.”

Read the article

6. Praja Foundation. Report on State of Policing and Law & Order in Mumbai. Full study report containing the analysis of serious criminal cases and associated procedural timelines.

Access the full report (PDF)

7. National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB). Table 18B.1. Statistical data on robbery and dacoity conviction rates and pendency in criminal cases.

Access Table 18B.1 (PDF)

8. Kidnapping and abduction cases in India. Report on the number of cases registered in 2023 and related NCRB statistics. NDTV, 30 September 2025. “Over 1 Lakh Kidnapping Cases Reported in 2023.”

Read the article

9. Human trafficking and criminal justice outcomes. Reporting on Supreme Court Justice N. Kotiswar Singh’s call for stronger anti-trafficking legislation and concerns about low conviction rates, procedural delays, and victim protection. Deccan Chronicle, 1 August 2026. “SC Judge Calls for Stronger Anti-Trafficking Law.”

Read the article

10. Acid attack cases and prolonged judicial proceedings. Report on Supreme Court concerns regarding pending acid attack cases, including a case pending for more than 16 years. The Bar Bulletin, 4 December 2025. “SC Seeks Status of Pending Acid Attack Cases Across India; Concerned Over Long-Pending Trials.”

Read the article

11. Acid attack survivors and the need for institutional accountability. The Hindu, 4 December 2025. “Show No Sympathy to Acid Attackers, Entire System Must Respond Against Them: CJI.”

Read the article

12. Procedural burdens on victims across serious criminal cases. For the broader argument that victims, survivors, witnesses, and bereaved families often bear substantial practical burdens in pursuing justice, consult the Praja Foundation study (References 5–6) and the NCRB criminal case disposal tables (References 1 and 7).

13. National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB). Prison Statistics India. Data on undertrial prisoners and related indicators of the criminal justice system's institutional burden.

Access the NCRB website


References

The following references are formatted for inclusion in the paper, with clickable links to the cited sources.

1. United Nations General Assembly (1985). Declaration of Basic Principles of Justice for Victims of Crime and Abuse of Power. Resolution 40/34.

→ Read the official document (PDF)

2. European Parliament and Council (2012). Directive 2012/29/EU establishing minimum standards on the rights, support and protection of victims of crime.

→ Read the EU Directive

3. United States Congress. 18 U.S.C. § 3771: Crime Victims’ Rights.

→ Read the US Code

4. Government of India (2023). Bharatiya Nagarik Suraksha Sanhita, 2023. Act No. 46 of 2023.

→ Read the Act (PDF)

5. Ministry of Justice, United Kingdom. Code of Practice for Victims of Crime in England and Wales (Victims’ Code).

→ Read the Victims’ Code

6. Government of India (2023). Digital Personal Data Protection Act, 2023. Act No. 22 of 2023.

→ Read the Act (PDF)

7. Singh, H., & Yadav, G. (2026). “Secondary Victimisation of Rape Survivors in India: A Criminological Study of Police and Court Processes.” International Journal of Law Management & Humanities, 9(1), 1405–1420.

→ Read the research paper

8. Kaur, A. (2026). “Secondary Victimization in Sexual Offence Trials: Do the BNSS 2023’s Procedural Safeguards Actually Reduce Courtroom Re-Traumatization? A Comparative Study with England and Wales’ Special Measures Framework.” Zenodo.

→ Read the research paper on Zenodo

9. Shravani (2025). “Victims’ Role in the Criminal Justice System: A Comparative Analysis of India, UK, and US.” International Journal of Law Management & Humanities, 8(3).

→ Read the research paper

10. Deccan Chronicle (24 November 2025). “Rape Survivors Face Roadblocks in Getting Compensation.”

→ Read the news report

11. Hindustan Times (8 November 2025). “SC Mandates Timely Victim Compensation Orders by Trial Courts.”

→ Read the article via Magzter

12. Ministry of Women and Child Development, Government of India. Nirbhaya Fund and One Stop Centre (Sakhi Centres) Scheme Documentation.

→ Visit the Ministry's official website

13. National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB), Government of India. Prison Statistics India.

→ Visit the NCRB official website

Important: These links are formatted as clickable hyperlinks. Their inclusion does not independently verify the accuracy of every publication detail or claim attributed to each source. Before submitting the paper for academic or legal publication, verify the bibliographic details and ensure that each source directly supports the specific claim for which it is cited.

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Justice That Deters: How a Victim-Centred Criminal Justice System Can Reduce Crime

The Deterrent Effect of Victim-Centred Justice

A criminal justice system that relieves victims of unnecessary procedural burdens can also strengthen the deterrence of crime. When victims are discouraged from reporting offences by repeated visits, prolonged delays, financial costs, or the expectation that they must continually pursue the authorities, crimes may remain unreported, investigations may lose momentum, and offenders may perceive a lower likelihood of facing legal consequences.

A single-contact, state-managed system could help reverse this dynamic through several mechanisms.

First, it can increase the reporting of crime.

By making reporting accessible and reducing the burden of subsequent participation, the system may encourage more victims to come forward. This can improve the information available to investigators and help identify repeat offenders and patterns of criminal activity.

Second, it can strengthen the certainty of apprehension and prosecution.

When authorities assume responsibility for evidence collection, investigation, case coordination, and procedural follow-up, fewer cases should depend on a victim's ability to persistently pursue officials. If accompanied by adequate investigative capacity and institutional accountability, this may increase the perceived likelihood that offenders will be identified and prosecuted.

Third, it can reduce opportunities for intimidation and obstruction.

Victims who must repeatedly approach police stations or attend proceedings may face additional opportunities for threats, pressure, or retaliation. Secure communication, coordinated appointments, protective measures, and reduced unnecessary exposure can help mitigate these risks and support continued cooperation with lawful investigations.

Fourth, it can improve the use of public resources.

Reducing duplicated interviews, unnecessary attendance, and fragmented administration can allow institutions to devote more time to investigating offences, examining evidence, and pursuing cases. The resulting deterrent effect would depend on whether the resources saved are actually redirected towards effective enforcement.

Fifth, it can strengthen public confidence in the rule of law.

When people see that reporting a crime triggers a competent institutional response, they may become more willing to report offences and cooperate with investigations. Conversely, when offenders perceive that victims can be exhausted into abandoning their pursuit of justice, institutional failure may undermine deterrence.

Conclusion

The deterrent effect of this reform would arise not from making criminal procedure easier for its own sake, but from making the state's response to crime more reliable. Criminological research generally finds that the perceived certainty of being caught and punished has a stronger deterrent effect than simply increasing the severity of punishment. However, the extent to which this particular model would reduce crime must be established empirically; a manifold reduction cannot be assumed in advance.

The objective is to ensure that committing a crime does not become easier because the victim is too exhausted, intimidated, impoverished, or administratively burdened to pursue justice. By making the state responsible for the process and strengthening the likelihood of a timely, lawful response, victim-centred justice can become an important component of a broader crime-deterrence strategy.

Scope note: The SCSM and its recommendations are the author’s policy proposals. They should not be read as existing legal entitlements in any jurisdiction. The comparative discussion identifies selected legal foundations and does not claim that the full model has been implemented or empirically validated. India-specific recommendations require legislative drafting, stakeholder consultation, and constitutional review.

Sunday, October 11, 2026

The Global Power Struggle: Unite or Perish

An Assessment on Global Power Struggle

Introduction: The False Choice That Dooms Us All

The world stands at a precipice. On one side lies democratic global governance, a world in which the professional tribes that already operate across borders (military, scientific, medical, intelligence, police, educational, legal, journalistic) unite to build a sovereign global authority accountable to all people. On the other side lies a world of oligarchic control, permanent surveillance, climate collapse, and endless war, a world ruled by a transnational elite that owns the capital, writes the rules, and answers to no one.

The elite has convinced the world that the only alternative to unipolar hegemony is a “multipolar” order, a world of competing great powers, regional blocs, and renewed nationalism. This is a lie. Multipolarity is not a threat to the global elite. It is the elite’s preferred operating environment. A world of fragmented governance, permanent arms races, nuclear anarchy, and climate paralysis is a world in which transnational capital faces no effective constraints. It is a world in which the ultra-rich can shelter their wealth in offshore jurisdictions, profit from every conflict, and evade every attempt at democratic accountability.

This paper argues that the professional tribes must reject the multipolar trap and instead assert their functional authority to build democratic global governance. They must do so not out of idealism, but out of necessity. If they fail, they will endure a world of dangerous surveillance, destabilised climate, and the constant threat of mass annihilation. The elite will try to prevent this because it threatens their regional control and power. But the elite is few, and the tribes are many. The war is already underway. The only question is whether the tribes will fight it as fragmented, co-opted servants of oligarchy, or as the united professions of a democratic global civilisation.


The Global Power Struggle: Unite or Perish


I. The Enemy Is Not a Nation. It Is a Class.

The old Western-led order of statesmen, diplomats, and international law is not dying. It is being executed by a new power elite, a transnational amalgam of autocrats, oligarchs, and tech billionaires who are cynical, ruthless, and contemptuous of the rule of law and the norms of democratic politics. This is not a conspiracy theory. It is a documented coup.

Oxfam has demonstrated that an ultra-rich elite is using extreme concentration of wealth to capture democratic systems by shaping laws, media, technology, taxation, and public policy in its favour. The Transnational Institute has mapped a “global, silent coup d’état” in which governance that used to be done by nations is now increasingly performed by unaccountable bodies dominated by corporations. The top 12 billionaires now hold more wealth than the poorest 50 per cent of the world’s population. This is not inequality. It is a declaration of war against the very possibility of democratic global governance.

The elite does not fear a “world government.” The elite is a world government, an oligarchic one, answerable to no electorate, restrained by no constitution, accountable only to itself. What it fears is a democratic one.


II. The Tribes Are Already Global. They Are Just Not United Enough To Push for Global Governance.

The professional tribes, military, scientific, medical, intelligence, police, educational, legal, journalistic, already possess the transnational networks, the technical expertise, and the functional interdependence that could form the skeleton of a democratic global governance. They have been building it for decades, largely without realising what they were building.

II. The Tribes Are Already Global. They Are Not United Enough To Push for Democratic Global Governance


The professional tribes, military, scientific, medical, intelligence, police, educational, legal, and journalistic, already possess the transnational networks, the technical expertise, and the functional interdependence that could form the skeleton of a democratic global governance. They have been building it for decades, largely without realising what they were building. What follows is not a description of what might be. It is a description of what already is, and of what the elite has done to ensure that these global networks serve oligarchy rather than democracy.

The Military

The Five Eyes alliance is not merely an intelligence-sharing club. It is one of the world's most comprehensive military-intelligence partnerships, born out of wartime cooperation between British and American codebreakers and sustained by trust, technological advantage, and shared strategic interests. Today, it spans the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand, and its operations include geographic surveillance, signals intelligence sharing, and joint military planning. Military spending has increased in all five Five Eyes nations, with much of this linked to rising geopolitical tensions and the rise of AI in weapon systems.

But the Five Eyes is only the visible tip of a much larger iceberg. The functionalist logic of military integration was articulated as early as 1946, when a "world force" composed of national contingents supplied by large powers was proposed to overwhelm any violator of the international code. The security dilemma, the spiral of fear and arms racing that makes all nations less secure, can be abolished by integrating militaries into one common global organisation under one common command. NATO is an approximate example of this ideal in a geographically limited space. The military already knows this. It simply lacks the political will, because the political class is owned by the elite.

The elite does not want a united global army. It wants a hundred competing armies, all buying weapons from the same handful of contractors. Global military spending reached approximately $2.887 trillion in 2025, the eleventh consecutive year of growth. Defence company stocks reached record highs, generating $25 to $30 billion in profits while thousands of people died. The corporate and political elites exploit war for their own gain: ordinary people paid with their lives, wealth, and future, while politicians and weapons corporations grew fabulously rich. The military-industrial complex does not simply profit from conflict. It prepares for it, profits from it, and then calls the result realism.

The military tribe has a choice. It can continue to serve as the armed wing of an oligarchic world order, fighting wars for resources and strategic advantage that enrich the few and kill the many. Or it can assert its functional authority as the legitimate basis for a democratic global governance, refusing to fight wars for the elite, demanding a unified command answerable to a global democratic assembly, and using its institutional weight to break the cycle of permanent war. The military already knows this. It simply lacks the political will, because the political class is owned by the elite.

The Scientists

The International Science Council is the largest international non-governmental science organisation of its kind. It brings together over 250 organisations, including international scientific unions from the natural and social sciences, national and regional scientific organisations, and research councils. Its vision is of science as a global public good. Its mission is to be the global voice for science, a trusted voice that speaks for the value of all science, everywhere. It explicitly works to strengthen international collaboration and promote the role of science in global governance, with science diplomacy as a core priority.

But the scientists' most powerful instrument is not the ISC. It is the Planetary Boundaries framework. Developed by an international team of twenty-eight scientists led by Johan Rockström at the Stockholm Resilience Centre, the framework describes nine Earth-system processes that together define a "safe operating space" for humanity. Scientists now estimate that seven of these nine boundaries, including climate change, biodiversity loss, and ocean acidification, have already been breached. Each boundary translates to a finite budget that the world must operate within, requiring strengthened global governance. The framework has been adopted by businesses and informed policy across the world.

This is a de facto scientific government of the biosphere, a set of thresholds that no nation can unilaterally ignore without threatening the whole. The Montreal Protocol demonstrated that planetary boundary governance is possible when the scientific evidence is clear and international cooperation is effective. But the Montreal Protocol addressed a single boundary. The current crisis spans all nine. The scientists have the epistemic authority to declare that the current trajectory is not merely unjust but physically impossible. They have the data, the models, and the moral clarity. What they lack is the enforcement power that only a democratic global sovereign could provide.

The elite has neutralised the scientific tribe not by attacking it but by co-opting it. Scientists are invited to advisory panels, consulted on policy, and feted at Davos, while their warnings are ignored and their recommendations are watered down. The fossil fuel industry funds climate denial research. The pharmaceutical industry funds drug trials designed to produce favourable results. The tech industry funds AI ethics boards that produce guidelines without enforcement. The scientists are inside the system. They are just not the ones running it. They must refuse the invitation to be decorative and demand to be constitutive. 

The Doctors

Global health governance has shifted in ways that weaken democratic accountability while concentrating policy influence. The World Health Organization, once a technical coordinating body, now operates within a broader ecosystem of what the International Center for Law & Economics calls "Democratically Deficient Organizations", intergovernmental institutions, philanthropic foundations, NGOs, and private actors that shape policy without meaningful public oversight. The move from assessed contributions to donor-driven, earmarked funding has severed the link between WHO priorities and member-state control. In its place, a small group of funders, most notably the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and Bloomberg Philanthropies, now exert outsized influence over global health agendas.

The numbers are damning. The Gates Foundation made 640 grants worth $5.5 billion to the WHO between 2000 and 2024. Over half of these grants targeted polio and vaccination programmes, skewing the WHO's priorities toward the diseases that the foundation's founders cared about rather than the diseases that kill the most people. The WHO's budget is 80 per cent financed from private, earmarked contributions, including from the Gates Foundation, GAVI, the Wellcome Trust, and Bayer. A recent study describes how the Gates Foundation influenced WHO by paying for the cost and donating the time of management consultants to advise on the organisation's reform processes.

This is not philanthropy. It is governance without accountability. The Gates Foundation has become the WHO's second biggest source of funding, and its priorities are shaped by a small group of wealthy individuals who answer to no electorate. The doctors are already inside a global system. They are just not the ones running it. The medical tribe has the technical expertise, the humanitarian mission, and the professional networks to demand democratic governance of health as a public good, not a private fiefdom. But they must first recognise that their own institutions have been colonised by the very elite they are supposed to serve.

The Intelligence Agencies

The Five Eyes partnership links the intelligence agencies of Australia, Britain, Canada, New Zealand, and the United States through arrangements for sharing signals intelligence. It is the world's largest intelligence-sharing network, and its members have conducted espionage and information-gathering activities around the globe with little restraint. The ECHELON network, established during the Cold War to monitor the Soviet Union, evolved into a vast tool for monitoring global networks, covering everything from diplomatic pouches to private communications. The Five Eyes Intelligence Oversight and Review Council meets annually to coordinate cross-jurisdictional inspections, creating a veneer of accountability over a system designed for maximum secrecy and minimum oversight.

Mass surveillance programmes like ECHELON have created concerns that the Five Eyes infringe on individual privacy rights, violate civil liberties, and lead to overreach by intelligence agencies. Edward Snowden's leaks exposed the alliance's surveillance activities, sparking widespread debate about privacy and government oversight. But the debate has produced little change. Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, the legal basis for much of the Five Eyes' surveillance of non-Americans, was reauthorised by Congress in 2026. Civil society pressure reached another Five Eyes government during the 2026 debate, but the surveillance state expanded regardless.

This is a global surveillance apparatus. The question is not whether it will exist, but who will control it. The intelligence agencies have the capability to monitor the elite's networks of corruption, to expose the offshore finance architecture that enables tax evasion, to document the arms deals that fuel conflict, and to reveal the climate denial that dooms the planet. They have the technical capacity to be the world's most powerful mechanism for accountability. Instead, they serve as the elite's enforcers, spying on dissidents, journalists, and activists while the powerful operate with impunity. The intelligence tribe must choose: serve the elite or expose it.

The Police

INTERPOL's 2026–2030 Strategic Framework is built on three core pillars: be the trusted global information hub for law enforcement; provide world-class investigative and operational support; and serve as the global voice for law enforcement. Its vision statement is "Together against Crime." Reform proposals urge INTERPOL to prioritise procedural fairness and equality of arms for individuals over new obligations for applicants. The organisation's new Executive Committee includes France, the United States, Italy, Germany, Japan, and Canada, a composition that strengthens democratic representation on paper but does nothing to address the structural power imbalances that allow authoritarian states to weaponise the organisation.

Because INTERPOL's membership is roughly evenly split between democratic and authoritarian states, there are persistent concerns about authoritarian governments using INTERPOL for transnational repression. International media reports have revealed the extensive abuse of INTERPOL red notices by countries including Russia, Turkey, and Tajikistan to target political dissidents and human rights defenders. Freedom House has documented at least 11 incidents involving the use of INTERPOL Red Notices or diffusions for politically motivated purposes, including requests linked to Egypt and the delayed invalidation of a Turkmen notice affecting an activist associated with Pussy Riot. Amnesty International has called the misuse of INTERPOL red notices a "grave institutional failure".

The police are already global. They are just not democratic. A global law enforcement framework accountable to human rights law, rather than to INTERPOL's most powerful member states, would be a powerful instrument for justice. It could pursue war criminals, kleptocrats, and ecocide perpetrators across borders. It could enforce international labour standards, environmental regulations, and human rights law. Instead, it serves as a tool for authoritarian states to hunt their critics and for wealthy states to protect their allies. The police tribe must demand accountability for its own institutions before it can demand it for anyone else.

The Educators

UNESCO's education governance faces sustained criticism for normalising a one-size-fits-all technological future, reflecting deeper tensions rooted in its reliance on soft power and symbolic legitimacy rather than binding regulation. Studies analysed draw attention to the expressive weakening of UNESCO's humanistic orientation in favour of neoliberal visions. The organisation's one-country-one-vote decision rules, combined with a large numerical majority of developing countries, created an untenable situation, leading major Western states to promote neoliberal economic policies that espoused strict adherence to free-market principles. UNESCO's educational model has become linked to the neoliberal notion of "human capital" and economic development, valuing access to science and the job market while remaining silent on central issues of justice, equity, and democratic citizenship.

The critique goes deeper. Research on UNESCO and New Zealand education policies found that "safety" operates as a neoliberal mechanism to manage student behaviour and individualise social risk in the guise of altruism. The rhetoric of safety is used to justify surveillance, compliance, and the suppression of dissent in educational institutions. UNESCO's failure to address contemporary threats to academic freedom emerges from the appearance of neoliberal transnational governmentality as an inevitable social regularity that delimits what can be said and cannot be said about academic freedom.

International organisations perpetuate a "business-as-usual" approach, idolising economic growth while relegating environmental concerns to the back burner. Educators know that the current system produces compliant consumers, not democratic citizens. They are complicit until they refuse. The educational tribe has the power to shape the minds of the next generation, to teach democratic global citizenship rather than national compliance and economic utility. But it cannot do so while its institutions are captured by neoliberal ideology and its curricula are designed to produce workers rather than citizens.

The Lawyers

The International Criminal Court represents a genuine attempt at global judicial authority. It was embraced when it pursued African leaders, Balkan figures, and, more recently, Russian officials. But its promise of universal accountability has been weakened by geopolitical selectivity. Its jurisdictional limitations and dependence on United Nations Security Council referrals have disproportionately affected African states, while powerful nations and their allies remain untouchable. The study of the ICC's legitimacy crises argues that such inconsistent enforcement has strengthened perceptions of neo-colonialism and has made international criminal law appear to be a mechanism selectively imposed upon the Global South.

Rwandan President Paul Kagame has accused the ICC of dispensing "selective justice". Chad announced its withdrawal from the Court, accusing it of "clear selectivity" and an unbalanced focus on African countries. The inescapable fact is that the ICC has exclusively prosecuted Black and Arab Africans, with no prosecutions of perpetrators from the Global North to date. When the ICC issued a warrant for the arrest of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Senator Tom Cotton dismissed the court as a "kangaroo court" with no standing to bring charges, and Senator Lindsey Graham threatened: "If you help the ICC, we're going to crush your economy". The Trump administration has sanctioned nine of the ICC's 18 judges.

But the problem is not merely selectivity. A political economy analysis reveals that a global elite benefits from marketised global justice, while victims of conflict are instrumentalised and commodified. The legal tribe has the instruments of global justice. It lacks the enforcement power that only a democratic global sovereign could provide. A global judicial framework with universal jurisdiction over the elite's crimes, crimes against humanity, ecocide, corruption on a planetary scale, would be the most powerful mechanism for accountability ever devised. But it cannot exist while the ICC remains captive to the very powers it is supposed to hold to account.

The Journalists

The International Consortium of Investigative Journalists is a global network of 267 investigative journalists in 100 countries who collaborate on in-depth investigative stories. The Global Investigative Journalism Network supports accountability reporters from around the world, with a core mission to support and strengthen investigative journalism, especially from authoritarian regimes and marginalised communities. The ICIJ was awarded the Pulitzer Prize in Explanatory Reporting for its work on the Panama Papers, a collaboration of 376 journalists from 70 countries that produced the biggest journalistic investigation the world had ever seen.

But power imbalances within these networks often leave Global South journalists in subordinate roles. Research on the Global Investigative Journalism Network found that white speakers consistently dominate conferences, particularly in career-boosting session types. During the study period, only one Black woman spoke in the Data Journalism session. The "global" in global investigative journalism often means Western institutions setting the agenda while journalists from the Global South provide local access and labour. The ICIJ's own members acknowledge these imbalances.

Journalists can expose the elite. They cannot yet replace it. The journalistic tribe has the power to build a truly global accountability press, one that refuses to be intimidated by billionaire-owned media empires, that prioritises the concerns of the marginalised over the interests of the powerful, and that treats the elite's corruption as the story of our time. The Panama Papers proved that global collaboration is possible. The challenge is to make it democratic.


III. The Elite’s Strategy: Co-Optation, Surveillance, and the Manufacture of Permanent Crisis

The elite does not need to destroy these tribes. It needs only to neutralise them, to turn each into a junior partner in its own subjugation.

The World Economic Forum’s “Great Reset” is the model. It looks to entrench the power of those most responsible for the crises we face, a sleight of hand to ensure that things continue as they are, deepening the climate crisis and inequality. This is a “Great Corporate Takeover”. The health movement, the education movement, the food sector, all have been colonised by unaccountable corporate bodies that make decisions previously reserved for public institutions.

The elite’s endgame is a world of total surveillance, climate destabilisation, and permanent war. The global levers of power are controlled by those elite who want to retain and abuse their control and power at the cost of common and greater good of the human civilisation. AI is being used to guide missiles and bombs, to make war itself autonomous. The fate of “enemies” is now being decided by algorithms, not rational persons.

Climate-change activists have been redefined as “domestic extremists” or “eco-terrorists,” with enormous resources devoted to identifying, tracking, and spying on them. The surveillance state is being built on the back of climate repression, using “ever more dangerous technologies” to ward off those forced to migrate from climate instability.

This is not a future scenario. It is the present trajectory. And it is being managed by elites who benefit from it.


IV. The Multipolar Trap: How a “Balanced” World Order Preserves Elite Power and Guarantees Planetary Collapse

There is a seductive narrative now circulating in the corridors of power: the unipolar moment is over, the world is becoming “multipolar,” and this new distribution of power will produce a more balanced, more representative, more just international order. The Global South is rising. Regional powers are asserting themselves. The West can no longer dictate terms. This is presented as progress. It is a lie.

The transition to multipolarity is not a threat to the global elite. It is the elite’s preferred operating environment. A world of competing great powers, fragmented governance, and permanent geopolitical rivalry is a world in which transnational capital faces fewer constraints, not more. It is a world in which arms manufacturers profit from every escalation, in which energy oligarchs profit from every price shock, in which tech billionaires profit from every surveillance expansion, and in which the ultra-rich shelter their wealth in offshore jurisdictions that no single nation can regulate. Multipolarity is not the death of elite power. It is its most favourable habitat.

The elite has always known this. The old Western-led order, for all its hypocrisy and violence, at least pretended to uphold a rules-based system. It created institutions, however flawed, that could be held to account. It produced international law, however selectively enforced, that could be invoked. It sustained a fiction of collective security, however cynically manipulated, that constrained the worst excesses of great-power behaviour. The new power elite, the autocrats, oligarchs, and tech billionaires described by Da Empoli as “cynical, ruthless, self-serving, and contemptuous of the rule of law and the old norms of democratic politics”, does not want rules. It wants chaos, because chaos is profitable. The old order is giving way to a world “without rules or enlightened leaders, plagued by violence and chaos”. This is not an accident. It is a business model.

The Arms Bazaar: How Multipolarity Becomes a Permanent War Economy

The most immediate consequence of multipolarity is the collapse of collective security and the eruption of a global arms race. SIPRI’s 2025 World Armaments Report concludes that the world is moving toward a “more armed, multipolar, and less governable international order”, one in which “global balances are being reshaped, strategic competition is intensifying, and security is shifting away from an international framework toward a web of interlocking regional ones”. Global military spending reached approximately $2.887 trillion in 2025, the eleventh consecutive year of growth. While U.S. spending dipped slightly, the rest of the world increased spending by 9.2%. Europe saw a 14% rise, the highest since the end of the Cold War. Asia and Oceania rose 8.1%, reflecting Asia’s emergence as a “military center of gravity”. This is not a transition to a more peaceful world. It is the militarisation of the entire planet.

Who benefits from this arms race? The answer is unambiguous. Whenever there is conflict, “private capitalist companies, business tycoons, and corrupt and hawkish politicians earn profits”. In 2026, defense company stocks reached record highs, generating $25 to $30 billion in profits while thousands of people died. The corporate and political elites exploit war for their own gain: “Ordinary people paid with their lives, wealth and future, while politicians and weapons corporations grew fabulously rich”. The global arms economy does not simply profit from conflict. It prepares for it, profits from it, and then calls the result realism.

This is not a bug of multipolarity. It is the feature. A multipolar world is one in which no single hegemon can impose arms control regimes, enforce non-proliferation treaties, or restrain regional arms races. The security dilemma becomes self-reinforcing: “Every time a country boosts its defence spending… This is what sets off the security dilemma, when all parties become less secure amid an arms race”. The elite does not need to cause these wars. It only needs to allow them to happen, and to position itself to profit from the carnage. The defence industry, Wall Street, Silicon Valley, and the oil majors control foreign policy “to maximize the wealth of the elite and access to global resources, supply chains, and key strategic points”. The wars chosen by the United States, wars for regime control, are “perpetual and lucrative for the war industries”.

The multipolar world does not constrain this dynamic. It accelerates it. In a world of multiple competing poles, every regional conflict becomes a proxy war, every arms deal becomes a strategic signal, every escalation becomes an opportunity for profit. The elite does not want a united global army. It wants a hundred competing armies, all buying weapons from the same handful of contractors, all enriching the same transnational capitalist class.

Nuclear Anarchy: The Multipolar Threat to Collective Security

The most catastrophic consequence of multipolarity is the collapse of nuclear stability. The world is entering a “new nuclear age,” in which nuclear weapons are returning to the fore of international statecraft “in ways unseen since the Cold War”. Major powers are issuing threats of nuclear strikes. China and North Korea are growing their arsenals. New prospects for proliferation are emerging from the Middle East to East Asia. The world has been “thrust into a new era of heightened nuclear risk”.

The Carnegie Endowment’s analysis is explicit: “From strained great power ties to complex multipolar dynamics and the precipitous decline of arms control, our coexistence with the bomb is becoming more complicated and perilous”. Unlike the Cold War, “a greater number of nuclear players and a plethora of new technologies, including AI and exotic new weapons, make the search for stability far from straightforward”. The multipolar nuclear order is not simply a Cold War with more actors. It is a qualitatively different and more dangerous system. Multipolarity “increases strategic complexity” and creates “systemic conditions of instability in which nuclear weapons become a cheap means” of pursuing security. The disappearance of the fear of nuclear weapons creates “significantly broader opportunities for their actual use”.

A multipolar world order has not yet been formed, but a multipolar world already exists. What is emerging is not stability through balance, but instability through fragmentation. The old bilateral arms control architecture, the INF Treaty, the Open Skies Treaty, the ABM Treaty, has been dismantled. New agreements are not being negotiated. The nuclear non-proliferation regime is facing its gravest crisis since its creation. The “new era’s first casualty could be the demise of the 20th-century nuclear non-proliferation regime”.

The elite benefits from this nuclear anarchy in ways both direct and indirect. Directly, defence contractors profit from the modernisation of nuclear arsenals, the development of new delivery systems, and the proliferation of missile defence technologies. Indirectly, the threat of nuclear annihilation serves as the ultimate justification for surveillance, repression, and the concentration of executive power. “Security” becomes the watchword for every expansion of state authority. The permanent threat of nuclear war is the permanent excuse for permanent emergency governance.

A united global army, accountable to democratic global governance, would have the authority and the capacity to enforce nuclear disarmament, to prevent proliferation, and to guarantee collective security. A multipolar world of competing nuclear-armed powers cannot do this. It can only manage the risk of catastrophe, and it is managing it badly. The elite knows this. It prefers it this way. A world of nuclear anarchy is a world in which the rich can build bunkers, the powerful can dictate terms, and the rest of humanity lives under the shadow of extinction.

Climate Governance Collapse: The Multipolar Failure to Save the Planet

The most insidious consequence of multipolarity is the paralysis of global climate governance. COP30, held in Belém, Brazil, in November 2025, was a case study in the failure of multipolar climate diplomacy. In a “multipolar world marked by rising geopolitical and trade tensions, with the United States, the world’s leading power, disputing climate change, and deep-rooted mistrust between the Global North and South, there was no crucial push to speed up implementation of the Paris Agreement commitments”. The agreement that emerged was “disappointing,” falling “short of expectations and the urgent needs of the climate crisis”. Major emerging countries, led by India and Saudi Arabia, maneuvered to spare fossil fuels, the main source of greenhouse gas emissions. The European Union found itself isolated in advocating for an end to coal, oil, and gas, but had already “shut the door on any new financial demands from the Global South from the outset, a stance that alienated those countries and soured other negotiations”.

This is what multipolar climate governance looks like: every nation defending its own priorities and development model, no nation willing to bear the costs of collective action, and the fossil fuel industry continuing to profit while the planet burns. The negotiations themselves have become an “echo chamber for countries’ political will” that “cannot go further than national decisions allow”. The purpose of the COPs has shifted from negotiating agreements to implementing commitments that no one is committed to implementing. Standing still, as Le Monde noted, “is already a step backward”.

Who benefits from climate governance paralysis? The fossil fuel industry, the energy oligarchs, the petrostates, and the transnational capitalist class that has invested trillions in carbon-intensive assets. The global elite does not want a democratic global governance that would have the authority to impose binding emissions targets, to phase out fossil fuels, to transfer technology to the Global South, and to hold polluters accountable. It wants a multipolar world in which climate action is voluntary, in which every nation can free-ride, and in which the costs of inaction are borne by the poor and the vulnerable. A multipolar world is the elite’s best defence against climate accountability.

The failure of climate governance is not a failure of multilateralism. It is a success of elite strategy. The elite has used the language of national sovereignty, development priorities, and “common but differentiated responsibilities” to prevent the emergence of any authority that could constrain its carbon-intensive business model. The multipolar world is not a world of balance. It is a world of impunity.

The Transnational Capitalist Class: The Elite That Multipolarity Cannot Touch

The most important insight about multipolarity is that it does not threaten the global elite because the global elite is not a national elite. It is a transnational elite, a class that owns capital across borders, that moves money through offshore jurisdictions, that holds citizenship in multiple countries, and that owes allegiance to no nation. The world has entered a third epoch, “with more power centers, sharper conflicts, and a global elite that both owns capital and takes home the highest salaries”. This is the new global capitalism. Transnational capitalists and globalising elites “found that they could increasingly aspire to detach themselves from local dependency… into webs of transnational capital”.

The elite does not need a unipolar world to thrive. It needs a world in which no single power can regulate it. It needs a world of competing jurisdictions, each bidding for its investment, each offering tax breaks and regulatory loopholes, each afraid to impose the kind of controls that would drive capital elsewhere. Multipolarity is not a threat to this system. It is the system’s logical culmination. The offshore finance architecture that fosters the rise of a “transnational elite supported by professional intermediaries” is not a bug of multipolarity. It is its enabling infrastructure. The global elite has built a world in which it can operate above and beyond the reach of any single nation-state.

This is why the elite fears democratic global governance, not multipolarity. A democratic global governance would have the authority to regulate transnational capital, to close offshore tax havens, to impose global minimum taxes, to enforce labour and environmental standards, and to hold the ultra-rich accountable. A multipolar world of competing nation-states cannot do any of these things. It can only compete to attract the elite’s capital, each nation lowering its standards to avoid capital flight. The elite knows this. It has actively promoted multipolarity as an alternative to democratic global governance, using the language of sovereignty, national identity, and anti-imperialism to obscure its real agenda.

The multipolar world is not a world of balance. It is a world of elite impunity.


V. The Choice: Democratic Global Governance or Extinction Governance

The user’s framing is correct. This is a war. Not a war of armies, but a war of sovereignty, a war over who writes the rules that govern the planet.

The elite will tell you that democratic global governance is impossible, that national sovereignty is sacred, that “globalists” are a conspiracy. But the sovereignty they defend is not the sovereignty of peoples. It is the sovereignty of capital, the right of billionaires to move money across borders without accountability, to extract resources without consent, to pollute without consequence.

The functionalist tradition in international relations understood something that the elite has deliberately obscured: integration in “low politics” (economic, scientific, technical) creates a political-technocratic elite that can act to shape cooperative frameworks. The question is whether that elite will be democratic or oligarchic.

The professional tribes have a choice. They can continue to serve as the technical appendix of an oligarchic world order, or they can assert their functional authority as the legitimate basis for a democratic global governance.

The military can refuse to fight wars for the elite and instead demand a unified command answerable to a global democratic assembly.

The scientists can declare that planetary boundaries are non-negotiable and that any government that violates them forfeits its legitimacy.

The doctors can refuse to operate under a global health system captured by private foundations and demand democratic governance of health as a public good.

The intelligence agencies can expose the elite’s networks of corruption and surveillance rather than serving as their enforcers.

The police can build a global law enforcement framework accountable to human rights law rather than to INTERPOL’s most powerful member states.

The educators can teach democratic global citizenship rather than national compliance and economic utility.

The lawyers can build a global judicial framework with universal jurisdiction over the elite’s crimes, crimes against humanity, ecocide, corruption on a planetary scale.

The journalists can build a truly global accountability press that refuses to be intimidated by billionaire-owned media empires.

This is not utopianism. It is the only realistic alternative to a future of climate collapse, algorithmic warfare, and total surveillance. The elite will fight it. They will call it “globalist tyranny.” They will weaponise nationalism, conspiracy theories, and the very democratic language they have hollowed out. But they cannot win if the tribes unite.


VI. The Stakes: What Happens If We Lose

If the professional tribes fail to assert democratic global governance, the elite will complete its project. The result will be:

Surveillance without limits: AI-driven monitoring of every citizen, justified by “security” and “climate emergency,” used to suppress dissent and enforce compliance.

Climate apartheid: A world of fenced, monitored communities for the wealthy, while the rest endure heat, famine, and migration.

Permanent war: Autonomous weapons systems controlled by algorithms, wars fought for resources and strategic advantage, environmental destruction as a weapon of war.

The end of democracy: Not the end of elections, but the end of their meaning. Citizens will realise that “change candidates” cannot alter the distribution of power, and they will stop believing in the system itself.

This is the world the elite is building. It is a world of extinction governance, governance not for human flourishing, but for the preservation of elite power in the face of collapse.


VII. The Call: Unite the Tribes. Break the Elite. Build the Alternative.

The professional tribes do not need to create a world government from scratch. They need to repurpose the networks they have already built, Five Eyes, the ISC, INTERPOL, the ICC, the ICIJ, and demand that they be accountable to a democratic global assembly rather than to the states and corporations that currently control them.

This is the functionalist path to democratic global governance: integration through the professions, sovereignty through the people.

The elite will resist. They will use every tool at their disposal, media, money, violence, division. But they have one fatal weakness: they are few, and we are many. They control the levers of power, but we are the machinery. Without soldiers, scientists, doctors, intelligence officers, police, teachers, lawyers, and journalists, the elite’s power is an empty shell.

The war is already underway. The only question is whether the tribes will fight it as tribes, fragmented, co-opted, and conquered, or as the united professions of a democratic global civilisation.

The choice is not between global governance and national sovereignty. It is between democratic global governance and oligarchic global governance. The elite has already chosen. The tribes must choose now.

If they do not, the next generation will inherit a world of surveillance, climate ruin, and endless war, a world governed not by laws, but by algorithms owned by billionaires. And the professional tribes will have no one to blame but themselves.

The hour is late. The enemy is known. The only question is whether there will be a war, or a surrender.



Sources

A consolidated list of sources cited in the paper, with brief descriptions and links to the original websites.


Democracy, Inequality, and Corporate Power

ITUC: World Economic Forum 2026: A billionaire elite is pushing democracy to the brink
https://www.ituc-csi.org/world-economic-forum-2026

ITUC: Fight for Democracy
https://www.ituc-csi.org/fight-for-democracy

Transnational Institute: Global Coup d'État: Mapping the Corporate Takeover of Global Governance
https://www.tni.org/es/node/13485

Transnational Institute: The corporate capture of global governance and what we are doing about it
https://www.tni.org/

Oxfam International: Billionaire wealth jumps three times faster in 2025 to highest peak ever
https://www.oxfam.org/en/press-releases/billionaire-wealth-jumps-three-times-faster-2025-highest-peak-ever-sparking-dangerous

Asia Business Daily: Report on Oxfam inequality figures
https://www.asiae.co.kr/lang/print.htm?idxno=2026011914230663876&lang=en

Military Integration and Global Security

U.S. Department of War: Partner Nations Hammer Out Foundation for Digital Transformation at Leadership Summit
https://www.war.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/4482343/partner-nations-hammer-out-foundation-for-digital-transformation-at-leadership/

The New York Times: LEGION LINKS PEACE TO A 'WORLD ARMY' (1946)
https://www.nytimes.com/1946/11/24/archives/legion-links-peace-to-a-world-army-volunteers-of-small-countries.html

Pollux: Abolishing the security dilemma: Why we need to integrate the militaries
https://pollux-fid.de/

CORE: Abolishing the Security Dilemma: Why we need to integrate the militaries
https://core.ac.uk/

Science and Planetary Boundaries

International Science Council: Science for a complex world: ISC 2025 year in review
https://council.science/blog/2025-message/

International Science Council: ISC Strategy 2025-2028
https://council.science/

United Nations: Secretary-General's message to the General Assembly of the International Science Council
https://www.un.org/

Cambridge University Press: Planetary Boundaries and Big Tent Science (Chapter 7)
http://core-cms.cambridgecore.org/core/books/stockholm-and-the-rise-of-global-environmental-governance/planetary-boundaries-and-big-tent-science/EF8A07A2C9D524D09119CC043DA69F56

The Week: Human activities push earth's planetary boundaries to the brink
https://www.theweek.in/

Global Health Governance

International Center for Law & Economics: New ICLE Issue Brief Warns Global Health Governance Lacks Democratic Accountability
https://laweconcenter.org/

European Parliament: Parliamentary Question E-001476/2025
https://www.europarl.europa.eu/

Third World Network: Philanthrocapitalism will not save the World Health Organisation
https://www.twn.my/

Intelligence, Surveillance, and International Policing

Amnesty International UK: Which countries could have access to your data?
https://www.amnesty.org.uk/

Foreign Policy In Focus: The Five Eyes Have Global Reach and So Do Their Opponents
https://fpif.org/

Office of the Director of National Intelligence: 2025 Annual Meeting of the Five Eyes Intelligence Oversight and Review Council
https://www.odni.gov/

Office of the Director of National Intelligence: Executive Summary 2024 Annual Meeting of the Five Eyes Intelligence Oversight and Review Council
https://www.dni.gov/

INTERPOL: Together Against Crime: INTERPOL General Assembly approves blueprint for future
https://www.interpol.int/

University of Michigan Law School Scholarship Repository: INTERPOL and authoritarian states
https://repository.law.umich.edu/

Amnesty International: 全球|滥用国际刑警组织红色通缉令打压异议人士
https://www.amnesty.org/

Education and Artificial Intelligence

Taylor & Francis: An even more problematic finding of our analysis
https://www.tandfonline.com/

Taylor & Francis: Artificial intelligence as a site of global educational governance: the case of UNESCO
https://www.tandfonline.com/

International Justice and the Legal System

BBC News: US unveils sanctions on ICC in move court condemns as 'assault on rule of law'
https://www.bbc.co.uk/

AFP: US announces sanctions on ICC, hours after Nobel award to former judge
https://www.afp.com/

Courthouse News Service: Trump escalates war on International Criminal Court with deep sanctions
https://www.courthousenews.com/

Cambridge University Press: Marketing Global Justice by Christine Schwöbel-Patel
https://www.cambridge.org/

European Parliament Library: Marketing Global Justice
https://link.europarl.europa.eu/

Investigative Journalism and Global Accountability

International Consortium of Investigative Journalists (ICIJ): ICIJ Members Archives
https://www.icij.org/

Wallace House Center for Journalists: We Will Not Retreat
https://wallacehouse.umich.edu/

CBC Radio: How a network of journalists uncovered billion-dollar accounts and toppled world leaders
https://www.cbc.ca/

Corporate Power, War, and Surveillance

Garuda: The Great Reset
https://garuda.kemdiktisaintek.go.id/

National Herald India: Wars, ecocide and the Doomsday Clock
https://www.nationalheraldindia.com/

Tribune India: Wars, ecocide and the Doomsday Clock
https://www.tribuneindia.com/

CNN: Hacked traffic cameras and US intelligence: How a plot to kill Iran's supreme leader came together
https://edition.cnn.com/

Times of India: Israel's Secret AI: How Israel reportedly used its decades-long 'secret AI' project to kill Iran's leadership
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/

Climate Activism and Political Repression

Springer: Labelling Activists as Terrorists: The Securitisation of Peaceful Protest in Europe
https://link.springer.com/

The Intercept: FBI Counterterrorism Agents Spent Weeks Seeking a Climate Activist, Then Showed Up at His Door
https://theintercept.com/

Milieudefensie: The practice of labeling climate and environmental defenders as enemies of the state, or even terrorists
https://en.milieudefensie.nl/

Multipolarity and Global Military Spending

Future UAE: How the International Order Is Being Reshaped: Global Military Spending and the Drift Toward Multi-Polar Armament
https://www.futureuae.com/

Xinhua: Global military spending hits record high in 2025
https://english.news.cn/

TASS: Global military expenditure gains 2.9% in 2025 to $2.887 trillion, SIPRI
https://tass.com/

Qazinform: Global military spending leaders named
https://qazinform.com/

CGTN: Under US pressure, European military spending soars 14%
https://news.cgtn.com/

Daily Times Pakistan: Billions, Blood and Arms Industry Secrets
https://dailytimespk.com/

Nasdaq: Why RTX Stock Is Surging in 2026, and Why It Might Not Be Done Yet
https://www.nasdaq.com/

Nuclear Weapons and Strategic Stability

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace: The New Nuclear Age: At the Precipice of Armageddon
https://carnegieendowment.org/

Harvard Kennedy School: Book Talk with Ankit Panda
https://www.hks.harvard.edu/

Center for Global Security Research: How New is the New Nuclear Age?
https://cgsr.llnl.gov/

European Journal of International Security: Nuclear multipolarity and strategic stability
https://resolve.cambridge.org/

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace: Strategic Stability in the 21st Century: An Introduction
https://carnegieendowment.org/

Climate Diplomacy and COP30

Le Monde: COP30 saves face but not the climate
https://www.lemonde.fr/